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‘Big test’ for PM as ex-Labour MP Mike Amesbury steps down to trigger by-election

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Mike Amesbury Resigns as MP After Assault Conviction

Introduction

In a significant political development, Mike Amesbury, the former Member of Parliament (MP) for Runcorn and Helsby, has officially resigned following his conviction for assaulting a man in the street. Amesbury, who was suspended from the Labour Party, pleaded guilty to the charges and was initially sentenced to 10 weeks in prison. However, his sentence was suspended for two years after an appeal. The incident has sparked a by-election in his constituency, which will serve as a critical test for Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer’s government amid challenging political times.

The Assault and Resignation

The incident took place in the early hours of October 26, 2023, in Frodsham, Cheshire, where Amesbury assaulted 45-year-old Paul Fellows. He pleaded guilty to the charges of assault by beating and was sentenced to 10 weeks in jail. However, after an appeal, his sentence was suspended for two years, meaning he will not have to serve time in prison. Despite this, the consequences of his actions led to his resignation as an MP. Amesbury announced his decision to step down on social media, describing the incident as a "deeply regrettable" moment for which he had been "rightly punished." He also apologized to Paul Fellows, his family, colleagues, and constituents. The resignation has triggered a by-election in the Runcorn and Helsby constituency, where voters will elect a new MP.

Political Significance of the By-Election

The by-election in Runcorn and Helsby is set to be a crucial test for Sir Keir Starmer’s government. It will be the first by-election since Starmer became Prime Minister, and political analysts are closely watching the outcome. According to Sky News’ political correspondent Liz Bates, losing the seat would be an "unmitigated disaster" for Labour, given the significant 14,000 majority Amesbury secured in the 2024 general election. At the time, Amesbury won with 22,358 votes, equivalent to 52.9% of the electorate. Reform UK came in second with 7,662 votes (18.1%), followed by the Conservatives with 6,756 votes (16%). This by-election presents an opportunity for opposition parties to challenge Labour’s hold on the seat.

Candidates and Party Strategies

As the by-election approaches, political parties are gearing up to field their candidates. Labour has selected Karen Shore, the deputy leader of Cheshire West and Chester Council, to contest the seat. The Conservatives, meanwhile, have chosen Sean Houlston, a membership services manager for the National Federation of Builders, as their candidate. Reform UK, which came second in the last general election, is yet to announce its candidate. The selection of these candidates reflects the strategic importance of the by-election, with each party aiming to capitalize on the situation. For Labour, retaining the seat is crucial to maintaining momentum, while the Conservatives and Reform UK see this as an opportunity to gain ground.

The Process of Triggering a By-Election

Under UK parliamentary procedures, an MP cannot simply resign from their seat. Instead, they must be disqualified from holding the position. This is typically achieved by applying for a paid role in the Crown’s office, which automatically disqualifies them from continuing as an MP. Titles such as the "Crown Steward and Bailiff of the Chiltern Hundreds" or the "Crown Steward and Bailiff of the Manor of Northstead" are traditionally used for this purpose. In Amesbury’s case, he was appointed as the steward and bailiff of the "Three Hundreds of Chiltern" by Rachel Reeves, the Labour Party’s chief whip. This formalized his resignation and paved the way for the by-election process. The Speaker of the House of Commons, Lindsay Hoyle, will then put forward a motion to discharge Amesbury from his duties, leading to the issuance of a writ to trigger the by-election.

Conclusion and Implications

The by-election in Runcorn and Helsby is not just a local contest; it carries significant implications for the broader political landscape. With Sir Keir Starmer’s government facing challenges in the polls, the outcome of this by-election could send ripples through the political establishment. The seat was a safe Labour constituency, but the circumstances surrounding Amesbury’s resignation have introduced uncertainty. The campaign is likely to be intense, with all parties investing significant resources to win over voters. The by-election is expected to take place within three months of Amesbury’s resignation, potentially coinciding with the local elections in May. As the political stakes grow, this by-election promises to be a defining moment in the ongoing battle for political supremacy in the UK.

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