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Hard power is the world’s real currency once again – talking tough on defence won’t be enough

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A Wake-Up Call for UK Defence: Navigating a Changing World

Introduction: A New Era of Uncertainty

The United Kingdom and its allies are facing a critical moment in history. The reliability of the United States as a steadfast partner in defence is increasingly in question, particularly under the volatile leadership of Donald Trump. This shifting landscape has sounded an alarm, urging Britain and Europe to reevaluate their defence strategies and dependencies.

The Shift in US Policy and Its Implications

The US stance under Trump has become decidedly hostile, with support for NATO waning and surprising alignments with adversaries like Russia. Elon Musk’s agreement with the idea of the US leaving NATO further underscores the growing uncertainty. This unpredictability signals a potentially irreversible change in the transatlantic alliance, forcing Europe to consider a future without US leadership.

The UK’s Strategic Dilemma

The UK, deeply intertwined with US defence systems, faces significant challenges in breaking this dependency. While Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s leadership in Europe and his commitment to increase defence spending are crucial steps, they are insufficient without a broader cultural shift. The nation must invest in military capabilities and industrial infrastructure to build a robust defence independent of the US.

The Economic and Cultural Transformation Required

Boosting defence spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2027 is a start, but it demands more than financial investment. Reshaping the national mindset towards defence is essential, involving all sectors from education to health. This comprehensive approach echoes the collective effort during the Cold War, where national security was a societal responsibility.

Leadership and Resilience in a New Decade

Starmer’s leadership is pivotal, especially as he hosts key summits and meets with figures like Volodymyr Zelenskyy. His commitment exemplifies the UK’s historical role in European leadership. However, true resilience requires a united effort across government and society, recognizing that defence is not just a military matter but a national endeavour.

Conclusion: The Path to Lasting Change

The time for incremental changes is over; a seismic shift in defence strategy is imperative. The UK must lead Europe in building a new security framework, investing in capabilities, and fostering a culture of preparedness. As Anneliese Dodds highlighted, strategic decisions now will determine the nation’s security legacy. The challenge is daunting, but necessary, for a secure future.

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