Trump and ‘no one else’ can end the Ukraine-Russia war, US ally says

The Russia-Ukraine Conflict: A Path to Resolution Through Diplomacy

1. The Case for Trump’s Credibility in Brokerage

The Russia-Ukraine conflict, nearing its third year, has seen numerous attempts at resolution by global leaders, yet none have succeeded. Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjártó argues that former U.S. President Donald Trump holds a unique position to end this war. Echoing Ronald Reagan’s "peace through strength" approach, Trump’s credibility with both Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is unparalleled. Szijjártó asserts that Trump’s ability to negotiate stems from his historical dealings with both leaders, suggesting that his pragmatic relationship with Putin, built on mutual respect, could facilitate dialogue. Unlike other leaders whose biased stances have alienated one side, Trump’s neutrality might offer a balanced approach, crucial for effective mediation.

2. The Failing Efforts of Global Leadership

Despite significant military aid and financial support, global efforts to end the conflict have faltered. Szijjártó attributes this failure to an unrealistic pursuit of a Ukrainian victory. The continuous advancement of Russian forces, despite Western aid, underscores the futility of such expectations. He criticizes leaders for ignoring the evolving battlefield, where Ukraine’s position weakens daily. This denial of reality has hindered negotiations, as leaders persist in a war that seems unwinnable for Ukraine, highlighting the need for a pragmatic approach that acknowledges the current military dynamics.

3. Trump’s Negotiation Strategy: A Balanced Approach

Trump’s potential success lies in his transactional style, which prioritizes practical outcomes over ideological stances. Unlike others who have taken sides, Trump’s balanced approach could enable him to broker a deal. His recent meeting with Zelenskyy in New York exemplifies his commitment to dialogue, emphasizing the need for a fair resolution acceptable to both parties. This strategy contrasts with previous efforts marred by partisanship, suggesting that Trump’s neutrality could be the key to unlocking stalled negotiations.

4. Zelenskyy’s Demands and the Slim Chance of Success

Zelenskyy’s recent demands for NATO membership or nuclear weapons reflect Ukraine’s desperation. However, experts like Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg view these demands as unrealistic, with NATO expansion unlikely and nuclear weapons beyond reach. Trump has urged both leaders to negotiate, yet a deal remains elusive. Despite this, Trump’s influence is seen as crucial, given his rapport with Putin and Zelenskyy, making him the potential catalyst for peace.

5. The Role of the U.S. in the Conflict

The U.S. has been pivotal in supporting Ukraine, but its strategy has faced criticism. Trump’s approach, rooted in strength and deterrence, contrasts with the Biden administration’s methods, which some argue have prolonged the conflict. Trump’s historical dealings suggest he could leverage U.S. influence to push for a resolution, emphasizing the need for a strong, balanced approach to end the war effectively.

6. A Way Forward: Urgent Negotiations

Time is of the essence. As Ukraine’s position weakens, the window for negotiations narrows. Without immediate talks, the conflict may escalate, deepening global instability. Szijjártó believes Trump is the only leader capable of bringing Putin and Zelenskyy to the table, arguing that his pragmatic approach offers the best hope for peace. The urgency for dialogue underscores the need for a leader who can navigate the complex geopolitical landscape, making Trump’s role potentially pivotal in ending the war.